[ARFC] Polygon & Arbitrum v3 Supply Cap Update 19.05.2023

Chaos Labs supports the proposal to increase the supply caps for rETH and wstETH on V3 Ethereum, with the following modification:

Network Asset Current Supply Cap Recommendation
Arbitrum wstETH 9,300 15,000
Polygon wstETH 2,400 4,050

Utilizing our supply cap methodology , we conducted stress tests simulating depeg scenarios yielding the results in the graphs below. For wstETH, we recommend a more modest increase in the supply cap than originally proposed.

Polygon

For wstETH on Polygon, we recommend capping the supply cap at 75% of the on-chain circulating supply as voted on by the community (currently 5,400)

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Arbitrum

On Arbitrum, with current liquidity, our depeg stress case scenarios show a risk of protocol losses given a range of increases in supply. Although the scenarios are relatively conservative (depeg up to 15%), we recommend a more modest increase of the cap by 1.6X.

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