[ARFC] Chaos Labs Risk Steward - Increase GHO Minting Cap - 03.28.24

Summary

A proposal to increase the GHO minting cap from 40M to 46M.

Motivation

As noted in the previous cap increase, the recent surge in GHO utilization and liquidity, prominently exemplified by the newly introduced GHOTHENA and GHO/fxUSD liquidity pools on Curve, which collectively hold 24% of the total circulating GHO, has significantly bolstered on-chain liquidity. This surge has also contributed to maintaining a relatively tight peg and has heightened the attractiveness of speculative GHO yields.

Screenshot 2024-03-27 at 14.55.42

For instance, assuming a scenario where all newly minted 5 million GHO tokens are sold immediately, the current distribution of GHO across liquidity pools results in a minimal slippage of just 0.54%.

Screenshot 2024-03-27 at 18.56.00

Furthermore, the recent uptick in stkGHO emissions, now at a 30% APR while constituting 37.5% of the current total supply, combined with the imminent significant adjustment of GHO interest rates to more accurately reflect market-based rates at 13% APR establishes clear parameters for a gradual increase in the GHO minting cap. This approach is essential given the evolving landscape of GHO utilization and market conditions, ensuring that we meet demand while maintaining stability within the ecosystem.

We recommend increasing the caps from 40M to 45M GHO. Following discussions with the future GHO Steward multisig members @karpatkey_TokenLogic and @aci), we have decided to implement these updates via the Risk Steward process in 2 tranches: the first with a 2M increase and the second with a 3M increase after 5 days, barring impact on the peg.

If the current momentum and market conditions remain, we aim to continue to gradually raise the GHO minting cap over the next weeks by implementing incremental borrow cap increases. We will closely monitor market behavior and evaluate this decision with every increase.

Specification

Update Date Current Minting Cap Recommended Minting Cap
03.28.2024 40,000,000 42,000,000
04.02.2024 42,000,000 46,000,000

Next Steps

We will move forward and implement these updates via the Risk Steward process.

Disclaimer

Chaos Labs has not been compensated by any third party for publishing this ARFC.

Copyright

Copyright and related rights waived via CC0

4 Likes

The transaction for this proposal has now been executed.

1 Like

Given the recent increase and minimal impact on GHO peg, we have updated the proposal with an additional increase of 4M rather than 3M GHO, bringing the minting cap to 46M.
This second increase will be executed later today, after the 5-day timelock from the previous executed tx.

6 Likes

The transaction for this proposal increasing the GHO minting cap to 46M has now been executed.

2 Likes