Chaos Labs Risk Stewards - Increase of Supply and Borrow Caps on Aave V3 - 11.02.26

Summary

A proposal to:

  • Increase the supply cap of PT-sUSDe-7MAY2026 on the Ethereum Core Instance
  • Increase the supply cap of XAUt on the Ethereum Core instance.
  • Decrease the supply cap of wsrETH on the Mantle Instance

All cap increases are backed by Chaos Labs’ risk simulations, which consider user behavior, on-chain liquidity, and price impact, ensuring that higher caps do not introduce additional risk to the platform.

PT-sUSDe-7MAY2026

PT-sUSDe-7MAY2026 has reached its supply cap of 200 million tokens. Given that the cap has been reached in a relatively short period, the market is showing strong demand.

Supply Distribution

The supply distribution of PT-sUSDe-7MAY2026 is highly concentrated, with the top 5 users accounting for over 85% of the market. As shown in the plot below, suppliers are borrowing a range of stablecoins, with USDe and USDT holding dominant positions.

As is common in such markets, health factors cluster near 1.02 as users aim to maximize leverage. Given the substantial correlation between debt and collateral assets, the positions present minimal liquidation risk.

Market

The implied yield of PT-sUSDe-7MAY2026 is currently 4.34%. Given the muted yields which are only marginally higher than the stablecoin borrow rate on Aave, we expect the demand for the asset to be limited compared to previous PT instances.

Liquidity

At the time of writing, PT-sUSDe-7MAY2026 liquidity within the Pendle AMM is sufficient to execute a sell order of 20 million tokens with a price impact of under 1%. Given the current supply cap and the high correlation between debt and collateral assets, these liquidity levels support an increase in the asset’s supply cap.

Recommendation

Given the strong lending demand for the asset, substantial on-chain liquidity, and minimal liquidation risk, we recommend increasing the supply cap for PT-sUSDe-7MAY2026 on the Ethereum Core instance.

XAUt

XAUt has reached 90% of its supply cap following the recent increase of its debt ceiling, combined with a strong price growth from the underlying asset.

Its debt ceiling, following a gradual increase to $50M, is currently 86% utilized, demonstrating strong demand of XAUt collateral usage.

Supply Distribution

The distribution of XAUt supplies is heavily concentrated, with the biggest waller representing over 50% of the total supply in the market. However, the top suppliers mantain conservative positions, with health scores over 1.5, while using a collateral asset that has historically presented limited volatility.

Recommendation

Given the strong collateral demand for the asset and safe user positioning, we recommend increasing the supply cap for XAUt on the Ethereum Core instance.

wrsETH

Following the recent deployment of the Aave v3 Mantle Instance, and after receiving communication from the Kelp team about a reduced target DEX liquidity pool, we recommend adjusting the supply caps of the assets to reflect the expected market depth.

Liquidity

While liquidity on the market is yet to be provided, Kelp’s communications indicate that the deployed liquidity for wrsETH/WETH pools on the Mantle Instance will be reduced from $8-10M to $2M.

Recommendation

Given these updated liquidity figures, we revise the previously recommended 18,000 wrsETH supply cap to 6,000 wrsETH.

Specification

Instance Asset Current Supply Cap Recommended Supply Cap
Ethereum Core PT-sUSDe-7MAY2026 200,000,000 400,000,000
Ethereum Core XAUt 20,000 30,000
Mantle wrsETH 18,000 6,000

Next Steps

We will move forward and implement these updates via the Risk Steward process.

Disclosure

Chaos Labs has not been compensated by any third party for publishing this AGRS recommendation.

Copyright

Copyright and related rights waived via CC0.