This proposal violates the Terms of Umbrella, and it will also cause confusion in the mechanism.
According to Documentation:
Umbrella enhances the reslience of the Aave Protocol by replacing the existing Safety Module with an automated staking system. If a deficit occurs in a given asset, Umbrella enables the corresponding staked assets to be burned and offset the bad debt, removing the need for governance decisions or manual intervention.
Slashing is triggered automatically by UmbrellaCore when a deficit in the corresponding Aave pool exceeds the configured offset.
To withdraw, users must first activate a cooldown by calling cooldown(). The cooldown period is 20 days (configurable by governance), followed by a 2-day unstake window. During cooldown, rewards continue to accrue and funds remain slashable.
I believe every Umbrella stakers thought they had agreed to bear a specific level of risk for a specific period of time, but this move seems to have turned it into bearing uncertain risk for an indefinite period.
In other words, what stakers are agreeing to is the risk of a automatic slashing when bad debt has already been actually incurred, before the cooldown and the 20 days in the cooling down, rather than “Based on our simulations, in some worst-case scenario we may see bad debts in the coming period, so let’s freeze this portion of the funds first, and then hold a meeting later to discuss how to use it.”
Pausing the Umbrella can cause confusion in the mechanism because slashing is also paused during the pause period. This can result in some funds that should have been slashed not being slashed, while funds that shouldn’t have been slashed end up bearing losses.
Umbrella is a very important asset for Aave, and Umbrella stakers are also important contributors to Aave, so we must handle this with caution. We shouldn’t set a very bad precedent; once there is human intervention, regardless of whether the slash ultimately occurs, it violates its original intent and destroys stakers’ confidence. Perhaps there will be no more Umbrella in the future.
Update:
A few hours ago, Arbitrum said it has frozen 30,766 ETH of hacker funds. If this portion of ETH is returned to the Aave Arbitrum Market and the corresponding stolen 36,166.8 rsETH collateral is burned.
Using the calculation method in the Incident Report under Scenario 1: Uniform socialization of losses, the actual unbacked rsETH will decrease from 112,204 to 76,037.
depeg = unbacked / (original supply + unbacked)
= 76,037/ (629,689 + 76,037)
= 10.77%
rsETH’s depeg is also expected to rise to 89.23%. Based on a 95% max LTV buffer, exposure will decrease from the previous 10%~ to 5~6%, which will greatly improve bad debt outcomes after liquidation.
If we calculate according to Scenario 2: Losses isolated to L2 rsETH, the new L2 rsETH backing ratio would increase to 34.68% (calculated as 40,373 / (152,577 - 36,166.8)), which may push Kelp toward Scenario 2. Maybe it becomes Scenario 3: Losses isolated to L2 rsETH (Arbitrum independent accounting).
But under any Scenario, the slashing risk faced by Umbrella will be reduced.
Mantle (The worst market of aave exprosure) just announced: Mantle is in active coordination and communication with the Aave team and affected protocols on a coordinated recovery plan, including potential treasury participation.
Therefore, I suggest that the proposal about pausing the Umbrella should be stopped immediately. Once the proposal is executed, even if no slashing ultimately occurs, it will undermine the Safety Module’s credibility with stakers and potential participants.